Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 47.3% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 70.1%
Defensive zone
Hartman 68.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 54.9%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Hartman
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hartman
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hartman
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (649)
55.0% (1,084)
-7.9%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
56.8% (303)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (73)
40.3% (149)
+4.9%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Hartman shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Hartman
O'Reilly
Home
46.5% (361)
54.8% (759)
Away
47.3% (429)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Hartman
O'Reilly
P1
45.1%
55.3%
P2
44.4%
51.9%
P3
50.9%
54.2%
OT
50.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
52.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |