Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings). Hartman wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.3% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 21-5 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 84.4%
Defensive zone
Hartman 88.9%
Neutral zone
Hartman 89.7%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 88.7%
88.7%
11.3%
Hartman
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
21
(26 meetings)
5
21
Hartman
O'Reilly
Last 10: Hartman 1-9 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Hartman
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
12
Hartman
O'Reilly
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
7
Hartman
O'Reilly
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (936)
56.6% (1,064)
-11.8%
Power Play
49.4% (154)
60.4% (260)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (54)
54.0% (261)
-20.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Hartman shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Hartman
O'Reilly
Home
47.4% (568)
54.9% (801)
Away
42.4% (576)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Hartman
O'Reilly
P1
47.2%
58.0%
P2
43.4%
56.7%
P3
43.8%
55.4%
OT
53.8%
64.7%
Final 5 min
49.8%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 04:09 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 01:41 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 3 | 07:59 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 2 | 10:40 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:46 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 13:11 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 13:05 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 04:36 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 14:22 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |