Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hartman wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.3% vs Kuraly 49.5% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 63.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 92.6%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 67.7%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
Hartman
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Hartman
Kuraly
Last 8: Hartman 5-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
0
Hartman
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Hartman
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
1
Hartman
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (936)
52.3% (982)
-7.5%
Power Play
49.4% (154)
41.9% (43)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (54)
39.2% (245)
-5.9%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Hartman shoots right. Kuraly is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
Hartman
Kuraly
Home
47.4% (568)
50.3% (680)
Away
42.4% (576)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Hartman
Kuraly
P1
47.2%
49.5%
P2
43.4%
49.6%
P3
43.8%
49.0%
OT
53.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 14:37 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 11:08 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 08:50 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 08:39 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |