Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hartman wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 44.0% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 92.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 66.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 66.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Hartman
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Hartman
Kuraly
Last 8: Hartman 3-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Hartman
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Hartman
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (495)
49.2% (901)
-6.6%
Power Play
38.5% (26)
68.2% (22)
-29.7%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (43)
49.8% (219)
-1.0%
On power play, Kuraly has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Hartman shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Hartman
Kuraly
Home
43.4% (288)
51.7% (603)
Away
42.4% (276)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Hartman
Kuraly
P1
43.1%
50.9%
P2
43.4%
49.5%
P3
42.0%
49.1%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 15:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |