Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Hartman wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.5% vs Kuraly 50.1% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 53.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 88.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 70.7%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 79.8%
20.2%
79.8%
Hartman
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Hartman
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (830)
51.8% (444)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
45.3% (150)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Hartman shoots right. Kuraly is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Hartman
Kuraly
Home
45.0% (515)
54.6% (304)
Away
44.9% (423)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Hartman
Kuraly
P1
46.5%
55.2%
P2
39.9%
45.7%
P3
48.6%
49.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 17:23 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |