Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hartman wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.3% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 82.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 82.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 60.9%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Hartman
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Hartman
Kuraly
Last 10: Hartman 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
0
Hartman
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
5
Hartman
Kuraly
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
5
4
Hartman
Kuraly
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (4,235)
51.5% (5,141)
-6.3%
Power Play
47.4% (443)
56.0% (100)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (262)
44.2% (1,086)
-1.8%
On power play, Kuraly has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,559).
Hartman shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Home / Away
Hartman
Kuraly
Home
46.7% (2,589)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
43.6% (2,351)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Hartman
Kuraly
P1
46.0%
51.1%
P2
42.9%
49.9%
P3
46.8%
50.0%
OT
53.8%
52.3%
Final 5 min
46.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 17:23 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:01 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 07:36 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 15:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 14:37 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 11:08 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 08:50 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 08:39 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |