Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.3% vs Thompson 41.2% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 56.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 59.0%
Neutral zone
Hartman 50.3%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Hartman
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Hartman
Thompson
Last 8: Hartman 4-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hartman
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hartman
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (936)
40.6% (801)
+4.2%
Power Play
49.4% (154)
44.7% (103)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (54)
31.0% (71)
+2.3%
On power play, Hartman has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Hartman is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Hartman shoots right. Thompson is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Hartman
Thompson
Home
47.4% (568)
43.2% (507)
Away
42.4% (576)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Hartman
Thompson
P1
47.2%
37.7%
P2
43.4%
43.4%
P3
43.8%
39.5%
OT
53.8%
27.3%
Final 5 min
49.8%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 07:19 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 07:14 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 00:20 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |