Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Hartman wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 47.3% vs Thompson 44.0% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 77.4%
Defensive zone
Hartman 77.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 73.6%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Hartman
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Hartman
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
0
Hartman
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (649)
44.6% (709)
+2.5%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
41.5% (53)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (73)
35.1% (97)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Hartman is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Hartman shoots right. Thompson is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Hartman
Thompson
Home
46.5% (361)
45.5% (426)
Away
47.3% (429)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Hartman
Thompson
P1
45.1%
48.5%
P2
44.4%
43.8%
P3
50.9%
38.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 19:02 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 13:05 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |