Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.9% vs 43.1%). Hartman wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 44.0% vs Thompson 43.8% (-0.2%)
Offensive zone
Hartman 60.5%
Defensive zone
Thompson 51.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 57.1%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Hartman
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (495)
43.3% (735)
-0.7%
Power Play
38.5% (26)
50.0% (26)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (43)
36.5% (52)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Hartman is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Hartman shoots right. Thompson is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Hartman
Thompson
Home
43.4% (288)
44.5% (407)
Away
42.4% (276)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Hartman
Thompson
P1
43.1%
44.4%
P2
43.4%
44.8%
P3
42.0%
40.2%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
44.7%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%