Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 48.1% vs Thompson 43.7% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 59.9%
Defensive zone
Hartman 86.0%
Neutral zone
Hartman 73.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Hartman
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Hartman
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (520)
41.9% (597)
+6.2%
Power Play
44.7% (47)
50.5% (95)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
25.0% (12)
+22.8%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Hartman is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Hartman shoots right. Thompson is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Hartman
Thompson
Home
48.3% (360)
47.1% (367)
Away
47.0% (230)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Hartman
Thompson
P1
48.5%
44.2%
P2
45.2%
41.6%
P3
49.6%
42.9%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 01:42 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |