Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hartman wins 38.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 43.0% vs Karlsson 53.6% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 79.7%
Defensive zone
Hartman 78.1%
Neutral zone
Hartman 83.8%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Hartman
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Hartman
Karlsson
Last 10: Hartman 3-7 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Hartman
Karlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
0
Hartman
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
5
Hartman
Karlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (413)
55.5% (659)
-14.6%
Power Play
53.6% (28)
59.3% (172)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (36)
39.1% (128)
-0.2%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Hartman is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Hartman shoots right. Karlsson is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Hartman
Karlsson
Home
46.2% (249)
53.9% (488)
Away
36.4% (228)
54.1% (471)
By Period
Hartman
Karlsson
P1
45.4%
50.5%
P2
39.1%
54.8%
P3
40.2%
56.3%
Final 5 min
41.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
41.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 16:58 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 13:21 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 15:22 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 00:34 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 00:31 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 17:53 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 13:41 | Neutral | William Karlsson |