Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Hartman wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.3% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 62.4%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 84.8%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 73.1%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 73.6%
26.4%
73.6%
Hartman
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Hartman
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (936)
51.4% (735)
-6.6%
Power Play
49.4% (154)
63.5% (115)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (54)
42.9% (133)
-9.6%
On power play, Karlsson has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Hartman shoots right. Karlsson is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Hartman
Karlsson
Home
47.4% (568)
52.3% (524)
Away
42.4% (576)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Hartman
Karlsson
P1
47.2%
50.7%
P2
43.4%
51.4%
P3
43.8%
53.2%
OT
53.8%
41.2%
Final 5 min
49.8%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |