Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Hartman wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 48.1% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 86.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 66.2%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 69.4%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Hartman
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Hartman
Karlsson
Last 10: Hartman 5-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
5
1
Hartman
Karlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
3
5
Hartman
Karlsson
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (520)
58.6% (597)
-10.5%
Power Play
44.7% (47)
57.9% (57)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
51.9% (52)
-4.1%
On power play, Karlsson has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Hartman shoots right. Karlsson is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Hartman
Karlsson
Home
48.3% (360)
59.6% (344)
Away
47.0% (230)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Hartman
Karlsson
P1
48.5%
53.1%
P2
45.2%
62.1%
P3
49.6%
60.1%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.4%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:48 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 04:52 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 04:44 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 11:29 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 08:08 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 01:36 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 01:30 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |