Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 47.3% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 84.1%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 64.4%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 71.9%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 71.8%
28.2%
71.8%
Hartman
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Hartman
Karlsson
Last 10: Hartman 6-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Hartman
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
2
Hartman
Karlsson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
1
Hartman
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (649)
56.3% (739)
-9.2%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
58.6% (181)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (73)
47.2% (53)
-2.0%
On power play, Karlsson has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Hartman shoots right. Karlsson is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Hartman
Karlsson
Home
46.5% (361)
56.5% (462)
Away
47.3% (429)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Hartman
Karlsson
P1
45.1%
57.1%
P2
44.4%
55.2%
P3
50.9%
56.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 05:04 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 07:15 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:09 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:41 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |