Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hartman wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 44.0% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 54.5%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 60.1%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 55.1%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Hartman
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Hartman
Karlsson
Last 8: Hartman 4-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Hartman
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hartman
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (495)
55.3% (897)
-12.7%
Power Play
38.5% (26)
61.1% (113)
-22.6%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (43)
50.8% (132)
-2.0%
On power play, Karlsson has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Hartman shoots right. Karlsson is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Hartman
Karlsson
Home
43.4% (288)
58.6% (560)
Away
42.4% (276)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Hartman
Karlsson
P1
43.1%
55.8%
P2
43.4%
55.6%
P3
42.0%
55.7%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.7%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
42.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2023 | 3 | 04:15 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 1 | 07:42 | Defensive | William Karlsson |