Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.9% vs 43.3%). Hartman wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 44.0% vs Johnston 44.8% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 53.7%
Defensive zone
Johnston 56.6%
Neutral zone
Johnston 52.8%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Hartman
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hartman
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (495)
42.5% (318)
+0.1%
Power Play
38.5% (26)
55.6% (9)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (43)
62.5% (8)
-13.7%
On power play, Johnston has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Hartman is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Hartman shoots right. Johnston is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Hartman
Johnston
Home
43.4% (288)
40.5% (168)
Away
42.4% (276)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Hartman
Johnston
P1
43.1%
46.9%
P2
43.4%
40.4%
P3
42.0%
41.9%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2023 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |