Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.0% vs Johnston 49.1% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 63.8%
Defensive zone
Johnston 60.0%
Neutral zone
Johnston 51.9%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Hartman
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Hartman
Johnston
Last 10: Hartman 5-5 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
1
Hartman
Johnston
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
2
4
Hartman
Johnston
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hartman
Johnston
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (4,023)
49.3% (2,024)
-4.5%
Power Play
47.1% (412)
52.7% (165)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (261)
44.6% (233)
-2.1%
On power play, Johnston has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Hartman is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,276).
Hartman shoots right. Johnston is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Hartman
Johnston
Home
46.3% (2,446)
49.4% (1,211)
Away
43.4% (2,250)
48.7% (1,211)
By Period
Hartman
Johnston
P1
45.2%
49.7%
P2
43.2%
48.5%
P3
46.2%
48.9%
OT
56.5%
48.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
44.9%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:24 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:59 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 02:34 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 8, 2023 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |