Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.3% vs Johnston 49.1% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 65.0%
Defensive zone
Johnston 60.3%
Neutral zone
Johnston 52.2%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Hartman
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Hartman
Johnston
Last 10: Hartman 6-4 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
1
Hartman
Johnston
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
3
4
Hartman
Johnston
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
2
3
Hartman
Johnston
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (4,235)
49.3% (2,189)
-4.1%
Power Play
47.4% (443)
52.6% (173)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (262)
44.7% (237)
-2.3%
On power play, Johnston has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Hartman is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,381).
Hartman shoots right. Johnston is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Hartman
Johnston
Home
46.7% (2,589)
49.2% (1,319)
Away
43.6% (2,351)
49.0% (1,280)
By Period
Hartman
Johnston
P1
46.0%
50.1%
P2
42.9%
48.3%
P3
46.8%
48.8%
OT
53.8%
51.6%
Final 5 min
46.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:24 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:59 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 02:34 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 8, 2023 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |