Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Hartman wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 47.3% vs Johnston 50.1% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 64.7%
Defensive zone
Hartman 54.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 56.9%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Hartman
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Hartman
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
2
Hartman
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hartman
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (649)
50.7% (552)
-3.6%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
61.5% (13)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (73)
43.5% (69)
+1.7%
On power play, Johnston has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Hartman is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Hartman shoots right. Johnston is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Hartman
Johnston
Home
46.5% (361)
50.3% (342)
Away
47.3% (429)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Hartman
Johnston
P1
45.1%
54.4%
P2
44.4%
47.2%
P3
50.9%
49.4%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:59 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 02:34 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |