Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hartman wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 48.1% vs Gourde 49.7% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 60.6%
Defensive zone
Hartman 58.1%
Neutral zone
Hartman 60.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Hartman
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
Hartman
Gourde
Last 8: Hartman 0-8 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
3
Hartman
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
5
Hartman
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (520)
51.2% (469)
-3.1%
Power Play
44.7% (47)
42.9% (21)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
37.5% (48)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Hartman shoots right. Gourde is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Hartman
Gourde
Home
48.3% (360)
47.8% (301)
Away
47.0% (230)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Hartman
Gourde
P1
48.5%
47.3%
P2
45.2%
53.4%
P3
49.6%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.4%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 10:45 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:00 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 05:14 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |