Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Hartman wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.3% vs Gourde 48.2% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 24-14 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 68.6%
Defensive zone
Hartman 65.8%
Neutral zone
Hartman 65.3%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Hartman
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
24
(38 meetings)
14
24
Hartman
Gourde
Last 10: Hartman 6-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
3
7
Hartman
Gourde
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
9
Hartman
Gourde
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
10
8
Hartman
Gourde
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (4,235)
48.4% (4,954)
-3.2%
Power Play
47.4% (443)
57.4% (376)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (262)
39.9% (554)
+2.5%
On power play, Gourde has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,559).
Hartman shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,937).
Home / Away
Hartman
Gourde
Home
46.7% (2,589)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
43.6% (2,351)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Hartman
Gourde
P1
46.0%
49.9%
P2
42.9%
47.4%
P3
46.8%
47.5%
OT
53.8%
37.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 09:36 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 01:52 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 10:45 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:00 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 05:14 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |