Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Hartman wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 44.0% vs Gourde 49.7% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 68.8%
Defensive zone
Hartman 66.7%
Neutral zone
Hartman 68.4%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Hartman
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Hartman
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Hartman
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Hartman
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (495)
49.1% (847)
-6.5%
Power Play
38.5% (26)
79.5% (44)
-41.0%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (43)
39.5% (81)
+9.3%
On power play, Gourde has a +41.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Hartman shoots right. Gourde is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Hartman
Gourde
Home
43.4% (288)
50.1% (491)
Away
42.4% (276)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Hartman
Gourde
P1
43.1%
54.7%
P2
43.4%
45.0%
P3
42.0%
49.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |