Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 47.8%). Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 47.3% vs Gourde 48.0% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 57.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 50.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 53.5%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Hartman
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Hartman
Gourde
Last 10: Hartman 3-7 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
4
Hartman
Gourde
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Hartman
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
2
Hartman
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (649)
48.0% (914)
-0.9%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
54.2% (48)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (73)
43.9% (123)
+1.3%
On power play, Gourde has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Hartman shoots right. Gourde is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Hartman
Gourde
Home
46.5% (361)
50.2% (512)
Away
47.3% (429)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Hartman
Gourde
P1
45.1%
50.0%
P2
44.4%
45.3%
P3
50.9%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 1 | 02:04 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 06:58 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 06:44 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 07:14 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |