Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Johansen 52.2% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 68.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 50.9%
Neutral zone
Johansen 57.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Eller
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Eller
Johansen
Last 6: Eller 4-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (306)
51.9% (1,006)
+1.0%
Power Play
40.5% (37)
56.0% (207)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (66)
42.4% (33)
+3.1%
On power play, Johansen has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Eller is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Eller shoots left. Johansen is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Home / Away
Eller
Johansen
Home
49.7% (181)
56.4% (633)
Away
51.3% (228)
48.1% (613)
By Period
Eller
Johansen
P1
54.2%
51.4%
P2
46.5%
52.9%
P3
49.6%
51.7%
OT
100.0%
84.6%
Final 5 min
53.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2016 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 1 | 08:18 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |