Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.7% vs Johansen 52.9% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 59.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 70.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 55.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Eller
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Eller
Johansen
Last 9: Eller 2-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Eller
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Eller
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
3
Eller
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (769)
53.4% (845)
-0.6%
Power Play
54.7% (75)
58.8% (102)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (188)
44.7% (85)
+2.1%
On power play, Johansen has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Eller is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Eller shoots left. Johansen is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Eller
Johansen
Home
51.3% (513)
53.2% (479)
Away
52.5% (520)
53.2% (553)
By Period
Eller
Johansen
P1
50.3%
53.8%
P2
52.8%
53.9%
P3
51.4%
52.0%
OT
87.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 11:02 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 17:36 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |