Nathan MacKinnon vs Ryan Johansen
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 41.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 43.8% vs Johansen 52.9% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 83.4%
Defensive zone
Johansen 68.9%
Neutral zone
Johansen 74.9%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 75.3%
24.7%
75.3%
MacKinnon
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
MacKinnon
Johansen
Last 6: MacKinnon 4-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
MacKinnon
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (743)
53.4% (845)
-9.0%
Power Play
35.7% (70)
58.8% (102)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
44.7% (85)
-18.8%
On power play, Johansen has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. MacKinnon is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (194).
MacKinnon shoots right. Johansen is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Johansen
Home
46.4% (394)
53.2% (479)
Away
40.1% (446)
53.2% (553)
By Period
MacKinnon
Johansen
P1
44.4%
53.8%
P2
38.2%
53.9%
P3
46.4%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
43.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 11:26 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 06:57 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |