Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Foligno wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 46.3% vs Johansen 51.4% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 65.1%
Defensive zone
Johansen 58.8%
Neutral zone
Johansen 61.1%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Foligno
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Foligno
Johansen
Last 5: Foligno 3-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
3
0
Foligno
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Foligno
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Foligno
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (159)
51.5% (615)
-7.5%
Power Play
54.9% (51)
54.3% (140)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (51)
46.3% (67)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Foligno is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (92).
Foligno shoots left. Johansen is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Foligno
Johansen
Home
43.0% (142)
52.4% (389)
Away
47.1% (119)
50.8% (433)
By Period
Foligno
Johansen
P1
47.8%
53.4%
P2
42.6%
49.1%
P3
46.2%
51.5%
OT
20.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
44.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2021 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 17:24 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |