Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.4% vs Nosek 53.4% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 69.5%
Defensive zone
Nosek 85.9%
Neutral zone
Nosek 58.6%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Johansen
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Johansen
Nosek
Last 7: Johansen 6-1 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
4
1
Johansen
Nosek
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
0
Johansen
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
0
Johansen
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (1,010)
55.1% (557)
-5.7%
Power Play
62.3% (236)
50.0% (4)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
67.2% (67)
47.7% (111)
+19.5%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Johansen shoots right. Nosek is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Johansen
Nosek
Home
54.7% (655)
52.3% (342)
Away
50.6% (658)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Johansen
Nosek
P1
52.2%
49.0%
P2
50.7%
53.8%
P3
54.8%
57.9%
Final 5 min
54.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 18:12 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 02:25 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 07:58 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |