Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.7%). Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Johansen wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 53.3% vs Nosek 53.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 73.8%
Defensive zone
Nosek 67.0%
Neutral zone
Johansen 53.6%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Johansen
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Johansen
Nosek
Last 10: Johansen 9-1 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
4
1
Johansen
Nosek
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
4
2
Johansen
Nosek
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
1
Johansen
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (11,017)
54.9% (2,674)
-1.8%
Power Play
56.2% (2,163)
44.7% (47)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (978)
47.4% (424)
+3.1%
On power play, Johansen has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Johansen shoots right. Nosek is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,203).
Home / Away
Johansen
Nosek
Home
55.0% (7,001)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
51.7% (7,158)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Johansen
Nosek
P1
53.2%
52.3%
P2
53.9%
54.0%
P3
52.8%
54.6%
OT
58.2%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 17:43 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 04:37 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 01:52 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 18:12 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 02:25 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 07:58 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 07:33 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 02:14 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |