Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.8% vs Nosek 51.4% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 62.6%
Defensive zone
Johansen 60.8%
Neutral zone
Johansen 53.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Johansen
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Johansen
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
1
Johansen
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
0
Johansen
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (597)
54.4% (215)
-2.5%
Power Play
57.9% (133)
0.0% (1)
+57.9%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (81)
23.5% (17)
+30.8%
On power play, Johansen has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Johansen shoots right. Nosek is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Johansen
Nosek
Home
55.8% (387)
50.4% (127)
Away
50.7% (424)
53.8% (106)
By Period
Johansen
Nosek
P1
50.0%
51.4%
P2
56.2%
51.3%
P3
52.6%
53.2%
Final 5 min
54.6%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 17:43 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 04:37 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 01:52 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |