Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (59.2% vs 59.3%). Johansen wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 58.2% vs Nosek 58.0% (-0.1%)
Offensive zone
Johansen 87.4%
Defensive zone
Nosek 79.7%
Neutral zone
Nosek 50.6%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Johansen
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (625)
59.7% (469)
+0.1%
Power Play
58.2% (196)
100.0% (4)
-41.8%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
56.5% (124)
-4.6%
On power play, Nosek has a +41.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Johansen shoots right. Nosek is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Johansen
Nosek
Home
60.3% (436)
59.0% (295)
Away
58.0% (412)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Johansen
Nosek
P1
61.3%
56.3%
P2
60.4%
61.9%
P3
56.0%
59.2%
OT
56.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%