Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs McLeod 47.7% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 73.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 74.1%
Neutral zone
McLeod 76.6%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 76.2%
23.8%
76.2%
Staal
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Staal
McLeod
Last 6: Staal 1-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Staal
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
4
Staal
McLeod
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
47.8% (448)
+11.1%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
48.1% (52)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
36.0% (25)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. McLeod is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Staal
McLeod
Home
59.0% (578)
46.6% (253)
Away
55.9% (707)
47.8% (272)
By Period
Staal
McLeod
P1
57.1%
43.9%
P2
60.9%
45.9%
P3
55.8%
52.1%
OT
20.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 18:45 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 04:09 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 12:40 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |