Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayes wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs McLeod 50.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 57.7%
Defensive zone
Hayes 84.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 77.8%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Hayes
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Hayes
McLeod
Last 6: Hayes 6-0 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
0
Hayes
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
51.3% (628)
+5.3%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
68.3% (41)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
30.6% (49)
+35.1%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Hayes shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Hayes
McLeod
Home
58.0% (405)
51.5% (394)
Away
56.1% (433)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Hayes
McLeod
P1
54.7%
51.5%
P2
55.7%
47.0%
P3
60.2%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2024 | 3 | 01:41 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 05:37 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 02:19 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 08:43 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 08:37 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 13:51 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |