Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 51.9% vs McLeod 47.8% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 53.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 77.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 65.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Roy
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Roy
McLeod
Last 5: Roy 5-0 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
3
0
Roy
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (547)
49.2% (796)
+2.7%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
44.8% (87)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (92)
43.3% (263)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Roy shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Roy
McLeod
Home
54.0% (328)
49.2% (575)
Away
50.6% (348)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Roy
McLeod
P1
53.5%
52.8%
P2
51.6%
45.1%
P3
51.6%
45.6%
Final 5 min
48.1%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 10:57 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:50 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 16:59 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 1 | 06:12 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |