Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.9% vs McLeod 47.7% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 57.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 59.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 56.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Roy
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Roy
McLeod
Last 7: Roy 6-1 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
1
Roy
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
0
Roy
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
47.8% (448)
+1.7%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
48.1% (52)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (110)
36.0% (25)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Roy shoots right. McLeod is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Roy
McLeod
Home
47.7% (491)
46.6% (253)
Away
50.0% (440)
47.8% (272)
By Period
Roy
McLeod
P1
51.1%
43.9%
P2
44.6%
45.9%
P3
50.9%
52.1%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 01:36 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 05:05 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 15:09 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 12:41 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |