Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. McLeod wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 48.4% vs Carrick 49.5% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 77.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 62.8%
Neutral zone
McLeod 57.8%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
McLeod
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
McLeod
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
McLeod
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (500)
49.2% (307)
-0.2%
Power Play
43.8% (48)
66.7% (6)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (50)
48.2% (56)
-4.2%
On power play, Carrick has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. McLeod is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (228).
McLeod shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
McLeod
Carrick
Home
50.9% (291)
50.3% (175)
Away
45.6% (307)
48.5% (194)
By Period
McLeod
Carrick
P1
44.3%
41.0%
P2
52.4%
51.2%
P3
47.8%
55.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:51 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:34 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |