Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. McLeod wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 50.7% vs Carrick 53.0% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 68.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 80.0%
Neutral zone
Carrick 55.5%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
McLeod
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McLeod
Carrick
Last 5: McLeod 3-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (628)
53.9% (521)
-2.6%
Power Play
68.3% (41)
57.1% (35)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (49)
51.5% (229)
-20.9%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. McLeod is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
McLeod shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
McLeod
Carrick
Home
51.5% (394)
52.7% (408)
Away
50.0% (324)
54.1% (377)
By Period
McLeod
Carrick
P1
51.5%
51.4%
P2
47.0%
56.6%
P3
54.3%
52.1%
Final 5 min
50.7%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 18:01 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 11:33 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 02:35 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 06:10 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |