Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 52.1% vs Carrick 53.7% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 56.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 58.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 57.6%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
McLeod
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
McLeod
Carrick
Last 10: McLeod 6-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
McLeod
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
5
3
McLeod
Carrick
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (904)
53.8% (654)
-0.9%
Power Play
57.6% (59)
0.0% (2)
+57.6%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (241)
63.9% (36)
-14.9%
On power play, McLeod has a +57.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. McLeod is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (420).
McLeod shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
McLeod
Carrick
Home
51.8% (612)
50.0% (328)
Away
52.9% (592)
58.0% (364)
By Period
McLeod
Carrick
P1
55.4%
56.7%
P2
50.8%
51.1%
P3
51.6%
54.8%
Final 5 min
51.9%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:40 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 3 | 12:39 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 1 | 10:45 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 11:55 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |