Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. McLeod wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 48.4% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 84.0%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 61.5%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 69.8%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 84.0%
16.0%
84.0%
McLeod
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
McLeod
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
0
McLeod
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (500)
55.3% (628)
-6.3%
Power Play
43.8% (48)
55.1% (216)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (50)
40.2% (87)
+3.8%
On power play, Stamkos has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. McLeod is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (228).
McLeod shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
McLeod
Stamkos
Home
50.9% (291)
55.5% (499)
Away
45.6% (307)
51.9% (432)
By Period
McLeod
Stamkos
P1
44.3%
50.7%
P2
52.4%
53.8%
P3
47.8%
55.9%
OT
0.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
48.2%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 18:02 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |