Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. McLeod wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 50.7% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 64.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 51.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 62.0%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
McLeod
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McLeod
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (628)
55.9% (499)
-4.6%
Power Play
68.3% (41)
56.3% (126)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (49)
58.3% (12)
-27.7%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. McLeod is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
McLeod shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
McLeod
Stamkos
Home
51.5% (394)
55.3% (349)
Away
50.0% (324)
56.9% (288)
By Period
McLeod
Stamkos
P1
51.5%
57.0%
P2
47.0%
59.2%
P3
54.3%
51.5%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
50.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |