Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 52.1% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 80.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 80.5%
Neutral zone
McLeod 50.3%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
McLeod
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McLeod
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
McLeod
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
McLeod
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (904)
49.3% (670)
+3.6%
Power Play
57.6% (59)
53.7% (121)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (241)
33.3% (3)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. McLeod is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (420).
McLeod shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
McLeod
Stamkos
Home
51.8% (612)
54.0% (400)
Away
52.9% (592)
45.7% (394)
By Period
McLeod
Stamkos
P1
55.4%
48.6%
P2
50.8%
54.5%
P3
51.6%
45.4%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |