Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 47.8% vs Zegras 35.4% (+17.3%)
H2H factor
Zegras leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Zegras 87.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 57.3%
Neutral zone
Zegras 66.9%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
McLeod
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
McLeod
Zegras
Last 10: McLeod 4-6 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
3
McLeod
Zegras
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
4
0
McLeod
Zegras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
4
McLeod
Zegras
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (796)
29.6% (230)
+19.6%
Power Play
44.8% (87)
32.1% (56)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (263)
100.0% (1)
-56.7%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +56.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. McLeod is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (748).
McLeod shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
McLeod
Zegras
Home
49.2% (575)
30.6% (147)
Away
45.9% (571)
30.0% (140)
By Period
McLeod
Zegras
P1
52.8%
33.0%
P2
45.1%
31.7%
P3
45.6%
25.6%
OT
35.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.4%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 19:40 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 08:26 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |