Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. McLeod wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 47.7% vs Zegras 41.5% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 76.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 54.8%
Neutral zone
Zegras 57.7%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
McLeod
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McLeod
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
McLeod
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (448)
39.4% (510)
+8.4%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
47.1% (34)
+1.0%
On even strength, McLeod has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. McLeod is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
McLeod shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
McLeod
Zegras
Home
46.6% (253)
42.3% (272)
Away
47.8% (272)
37.5% (272)
By Period
McLeod
Zegras
P1
43.9%
37.6%
P2
45.9%
41.5%
P3
52.1%
40.8%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |