Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 49.6% vs Zegras 39.2% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Zegras 55.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 89.6%
Neutral zone
McLeod 69.3%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
McLeod
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
McLeod
Zegras
Last 10: McLeod 4-6 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
2
4
McLeod
Zegras
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
6
1
McLeod
Zegras
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
2
4
McLeod
Zegras
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (3,345)
38.6% (1,669)
+11.8%
Power Play
51.0% (292)
38.5% (148)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (635)
28.6% (7)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. McLeod is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
McLeod shoots left. Zegras is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Home / Away
McLeod
Zegras
Home
50.2% (2,158)
39.9% (882)
Away
48.9% (2,114)
37.4% (942)
By Period
McLeod
Zegras
P1
50.8%
40.2%
P2
48.4%
38.0%
P3
50.0%
37.7%
OT
37.1%
31.6%
Final 5 min
48.7%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 19:40 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 08:26 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:27 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 18:10 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |