Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 50.7% vs Zegras 43.3% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 86.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 94.5%
Neutral zone
McLeod 86.3%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 89.1%
89.1%
10.9%
McLeod
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
McLeod
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (628)
39.8% (128)
+11.5%
Power Play
68.3% (41)
22.2% (9)
+46.1%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (49)
0.0% (1)
+30.6%
On power play, McLeod has a +46.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
McLeod shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
McLeod
Zegras
Home
51.5% (394)
29.7% (74)
Away
50.0% (324)
48.4% (64)
By Period
McLeod
Zegras
P1
51.5%
40.7%
P2
47.0%
35.1%
P3
54.3%
41.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 18:10 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |