Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 52.1% vs Zegras 41.3% (+15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 69.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 94.8%
Neutral zone
McLeod 85.4%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
McLeod
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
McLeod
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (904)
36.5% (156)
+16.4%
Power Play
57.6% (59)
40.7% (27)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (241)
0.0% (3)
+49.0%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +49.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
McLeod shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
McLeod
Zegras
Home
51.8% (612)
38.9% (113)
Away
52.9% (592)
32.9% (73)
By Period
McLeod
Zegras
P1
55.4%
40.0%
P2
50.8%
38.1%
P3
51.6%
31.6%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:27 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |