Kevin Hayes vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayes wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 38.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 46.0% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 73.9%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 60.9%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 74.1%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Hayes 3-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
37.1% (642)
44.3% (1,117)
-7.2%
Power Play
32.1% (28)
52.4% (208)
-20.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (11)
51.6% (31)
-51.6%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +51.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hayes is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Hayes shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (891).
Home / Away
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
36.7% (354)
47.6% (655)
Away
35.8% (327)
43.9% (701)
By Period
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
33.6%
43.9%
P2
38.3%
46.8%
P3
37.0%
47.0%
Final 5 min
39.0%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2014 | 2 | 05:31 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 3 | 11:57 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 3 | 03:16 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |