Nathan MacKinnon vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2013-14 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.9% vs 42.4%). MacKinnon wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 43.0% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 52.4%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.2%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: MacKinnon 3-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (407)
42.3% (1,054)
-0.3%
Power Play
51.2% (43)
44.6% (195)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
32.3% (31)
+17.7%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (350).
MacKinnon shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
42.1% (202)
45.6% (686)
Away
43.6% (250)
38.7% (594)
By Period
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
43.3%
41.7%
P2
41.5%
46.2%
P3
44.2%
39.3%
OT
37.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
41.9%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
42.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 15:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |