Ryan Carpenter vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Carpenter wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 52.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.6% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 54.6%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 73.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Carpenter 3-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
2
0
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (267)
46.5% (690)
+7.1%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
41.7% (12)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
38.4% (138)
+11.6%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Carpenter is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Carpenter shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
47.6% (145)
47.7% (405)
Away
57.1% (161)
42.8% (435)
By Period
Carpenter
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.7%
49.4%
P2
47.6%
43.0%
P3
57.4%
43.7%
Final 5 min
50.7%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
52.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 14:45 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 04:53 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |