Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Sean Monahan
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% vs Monahan 53.9% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 65.6%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 83.9%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 70.4%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
Last 6: Nugent-Hopkins 1-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (527)
54.5% (231)
-9.1%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
58.2% (67)
-17.0%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
52.2% (23)
-7.3%
On power play, Monahan has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
Home
46.1% (336)
53.5% (144)
Away
44.2% (346)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
P1
49.1%
52.5%
P2
45.3%
50.9%
P3
42.0%
60.8%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 19:55 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 07:31 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |