Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Sean Monahan
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% vs Monahan 52.8% (-5.0%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.8%
Defensive zone
Monahan 56.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 53.1%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (231)
53.2% (823)
-5.6%
Power Play
83.3% (12)
55.3% (159)
+28.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
48.4% (95)
-15.1%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
Home
51.2% (164)
54.6% (529)
Away
43.0% (100)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
P1
50.0%
49.0%
P2
46.2%
55.4%
P3
49.5%
53.6%
OT
0.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
44.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%